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10 reasons why Hamilton won't win in Spain

It is very difficult to even think of Formula One at the moment without setting the words "Nazi orgy" pinging around the brain again, but we shall try.

This weekend, Lewis Hamilton returns to the site of his own torment, the Barcelona track where a group of Spaniards thought it would be hilarious to black up and pretend to be Hamilton's "familly" earlier this year. Who knew they even made racist make-up any more? That stuff's got to be rarer than wig powder and beauty spots – you've got to be really serious about your racism to waste the precious blackface on an F1 testing session.

And who knows what the combination of a rustic sense of humour and an irresistible desire to attention seek will bring from the spectators this weekend? Surely not a comedy Kamp Kommandant and his pyjama'd slaves. Please god, not that.

More importantly, if you're looking to venture a few quid on the outcome, The Wager reckons it's not going to be Hamilton's best Sunday. Here's why...

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1. McLaren have won just one of the last seven Spanish Grands Prix – Ferrari have won five.

2. The last time either McLaren or a British driver won the first European race of a season was in 1998 (David Coulthard, San Marino).

3. Only once in the last seven years has a McLaren finished ahead of a Ferrari (2005).

4. The McLarens have been much slower than the Ferraris in the last two races - Heikki Kovalainen finished 26.789 seconds behind Felipe Massa in Bahrain, that's their best yet.

5. Last year Lewis Hamilton did a fine job in Spain and was able to finish ahead of teammate Fernando Alonso, but he still couldn’t match Massa’s Ferrari for pace.

6. Hamilton won’t get pole – he only qualified fourth last year, and has been outqualified by Massa in the last two races – the last seven pole-sitters have won this one.

7. There hasn’t been a British winner in Spain since Damon Hill in 1994.

8. chickendinner superfact: Even worse, a British driver in a McLaren hasn't won in Spain since 1976 (James Hunt).

9. Hamilton’s team-mate has finished ahead of him in seven of his last nine Grands Prix.

10. He is seriously unpopular with the Spanish.

23/04/08

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