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England/ South Africa

Why England won't win the Second Test

Man, having voices in your head is a nightmare. One's hysterically whispering that England will win because they do well at Headingly, but another is yammering about how South Africa always pull a little something out of the bag. For now, the latter voice is the most persuasive, so we're going with the South Africans. Unless, of course, it rains. Then it's another boring draw. Again.

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It looks good for England

» England are now unbeaten in six straight test matches although this will be the first time in that run that they have changed the team.

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» The last three times England have played at Headingley they have triumphed, as they have done on six of the last eight occasions they've played there.

But!

» South Africa and England last clashed at Headingley in 2003 and on that occasion South Africa were victorious.

» Even more worryingly, England have won just one of their last five against South Africa on the Yorkshire ground, drawing twice and losing twice.

Looking good for England again...

» England are unbeaten in the second tests of their last three series, with two wins and a draws.

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» Their home second test record is more impressive, having lost the second test in just one of their last nine home series.

But!

» chickendinner superfact: South Africa are unbeaten in eight second tests against England, last losing one in June 1960.

» The Proteas have won their last four second tests in overall competition and are unbeaten in five.

17/07/08

Second Test winner, best odds